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Quarterly Sales Figures: US Diamond (and other) Sales Continue to Rise - May 1999
The Diamond Information Center, De Beers agency in
the U.S., reported a 9% growth in the diamond jewelry market in 1998 in the U.S. Total
sales were over $22 billion they said, with an increase of 5% in average price paid per
piece. These figures were felt throughout the wholesale diamond industry as diamond sales
and wholesale diamond prices remained firm.
This trend continued in 1999, not surprisingly, the U.S. Commerce
Department added to these findings that total retail sales in March rose two-tenths of 1%.
Though not a large jump in itself, this percentage change is part of the ongoing pattern:
January sales rose by 1.3% and Februarys were up by as much as 1.7% in the
continuing upward trend as total sales reached $239.6 billion with the January/February
non-adjusted figures for jewelry stores coming in at $ 1,202 million and $1,713 million, respectively.
Everyday consumers have been the backbone of the upward movement. Made
confident by the bullish market on Wall Street and the 4.2% unemployment level in
March the lowest since 1970 consumer spending and a rising consumer
confidence in the continuing availability of jobs is the bottom-line reason for the high
numbers.
In global terms, the news is not all as good. The International
Monetary Fund (IMF) is warning of a global slowdown in 1999 and 2000 due, in part, to the
Kosovo situation. The groups prediction for global growth for 1999 was 2.3% and 3.4%
for 2000. In Paris, consumer spending rose with the traditional March fashion sales, but
by healthy 1.6% rather than the average single percentage point rise. French exports to
the Asian markets continue to decline, but the countrys economy does not seem to be
unduly effected.
The economic growth forecast for Germany was reduced to 1.7% from 2.3%,
the lowest since 1996. Blamed for the slow-down are Germanys export markets, among
them Russia and Asia. However, the German institutes for economic research predict that
the exports will rise in 1999 and again in 2000 by 4.7%. In London, the strong British
pound continued to leave British exporters in shaky straits with the Asian markets, even
as Italys consumer confidence
took a nose-dive and retail sales in Hong Kong fell this quarter to HK14 billion. In
Russia, the International Monetary Fund is holding the government up to two major audits
and possible changes in current laws before loaning it any further funds,
regardless of any possible diamond backing for those funds.
In contrast, U.S. consumer confidence remains at a record high according to the
Conference Board index. In the Conference Board consumer expectations index, which covers
the next six months, the figures rose again, this time from 105.5 in March to 108 in
April. The April increase of the current confidence reading to 134.9 was the highest since
July of 1998 at 137.2 and has been rising for six months in row. The readings have been
over 130 for a period of 12 months, a level that has not been reached since 1969. v
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