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Forecast 2000 - Jan 2000
* First the good news. We think the year 2000 will be another "year of
plenty" for the U.S. economy, which bodes well for the diamond industry as
a whole.
* The recoveries of the Far East and Japanese markets are progressing very
slowly, but they will continue, although it will take a while before the people
in those countries have enough money to buy luxuries.
* You’ll be seeing the De Beers name even more as the company looks likely
to go ahead with "branding." The only thing that could stop De Beers
is anti-trust considerations. One possible solution could be that the "new
De Beers" will no longer be a "producers cooperative," and stop
contracting with outside producers and concentrate on their own, more profitable
operations.
* As worldwide consumption is expected to increase, so will diamond mining.
With more venture capital available in Canada and other places, there should be
no lack of commercially profitable mines.
* There’s no question about it: There will soon be synthetic colorless and
fancy-colored diamonds available. These won’t kill the prices of natural
diamonds, but jewelers will have to learn to identify them. Also, expect new
kinds of treatments — although we think there will eventually be a way to
identify the Lazare Kaplan-General Electric "Pegasus" (now
"Monarch") process.
* Inscriptions will become more popular. GIA and others may also start
advertising this service directly to the public. In fact, a lot more wholesalers
will be advertising directly to the public.
* E-commerce will continue to grow, but established retailers won’t be hurt
for many years. v
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