When is a price increase not an increase? De Beers recently puzzled the trade with an
announcement that seemed to say that, beginning with the September sight, prices were
going both up and down.
In what it labeled a price "adjustment," De Beers seemed to indicate that the
prices of certain stones were rising, but others were falling although the overall
effect was "price neutral," which many took to mean the increase and decrease
cancelled each other out. It gave as reasons the robust American market, and the
still-struggling Far East scene.
At the time DRB went to press, it was still too early to tell which diamonds were
affected and De Beers wont officially comment.
The price "adjustment" took the industry largely by surprise. De Beers had
recently adjusted its prices to give sightholders more room for profits, and most expected
it to continue that way. But many also hoped that De Beers would announce an increase in
order to give the industry a psychological boost, and that sightholders could pass the
increase on down the line. This latest announcement in a way satisfies everyone: It lets
the trade say theres an increase, but also doesnt raise the hopes of the
diamond producing countries too high. It also lets De Beers officially hint at a diamond
price decreasesomething its only done once before in its historyin a way
that wont panic people into thinking the market is crashing.
From the release, one would assume that the price of certain "American
goods," (meaning goods popular in the American market, such as full cuts, melees,
medium priced caraters from $3000- $4,000, and 3/4s and up certificate stones, from F to
J, VS SI) will increase. The release also seemed to indicate that the price of
certain goods labeled "Asian" goods (mostly the "cape," or low color
stones) will go down, because the economies there have not recovered. However, according
to some reports, the price of the "Asian goods" has already gone down in certain
categories, and this new "adjustment" may just be "formalizing" that
decrease.
One things for certain: There will be a lot more talk about the price increase
rather than the decrease. By only talking in general term about an unspecified price
"adjustment," De Beers is giving its customers a lot of leeway. No one likes to
admit their goods went down in price. But no matter what happens in London, a lot of
people will say their stones went up.
The phrase "price adjustment" is different from the standard "price
increase." While previously, rough prices only went up (at least on paper), now De
Beers seems to be sending a signal that diamond prices can go up and down like any other
product. This is a major shift in the companys thinking.
The overall message from this unusual announcement is that De Beers realizes it can no
longer dictate prices to the market. But it is listening to the market very closely
and when things change, it will act accordingly.